Was not nervous, until I saw thunderstorm for Saturday ? How does this change your plans ?
doesn't, there is a greater chance it won't rain than there is it will? Stay away from the tall guys if it starts lightning. Besides it's early the forecast will probably change several more times by Saturday. It's al part of the fun or Ironman.
A light rain or scattered thunderstorm during the run would probably be helpful, to break the 90F and 80% humidity that will occur otherwise, just as some rain in Kona makes the times faster. The bike course is not that technical, no real descents or dangerous corners, so some wetness would not be a deal-breaker.
Really bad winds or hale would be a bummer, but really these are usually farther north into east Texas or up closer to Dallas. About the only thing unique to this location would be a truly torrential rain such as a paused tropical storm, but at this point that scenario is near impossible.
It's been unseasonably cool this weekend in all of Texas, and were the race held this past weekend, it might have been wetsuit legal. So do bring your full wetsuit just in case, but the odds are still 95% that the temps will be too high for it (if you are racing competitively for places or slots).
The canal water temperature at 6:30am today was 80F right to the bottom. The nightly low air temperature was in the high 50s and is forecast to be in the low 70s by race day so the only real question left is will the water warm above 84 and prevent even the "not racing for place or slot" athletes from wearing their wetsuits.
Hugh- Denise's husband
Are they measuring the canal or the lake for purposes of determining wet-suit legality? According to fishingreports.com, current water temp of Lake Woodlands is 72. It's not surprising that the canal is warmer, of course, but that makes up less than 1/3 of the swim course. The question is, then, which part of the swim do they use for that determination.
I'll be bringing my wetsuit just in case.
The temperature at the docks at North Shore park was 78F. yesterday afternoon even to a depth of 10 feet below the surface. It feels like bathwater.
Hugh - Denise's husband
You misread that report, which really means 72F is the ideal bass fishing temperature, and sometimes the lake is there. That report has been there for a long time--I read it weeks ago.
Likely referee measuring point will be the North Shore Park, NOT the canal, which is a completely different environment. It is extremely unlikely that the water temperature will be below 76.5F, I would say 99% plus, but I'll bring my full wetsuit anyway just in case a refrigerations truck crashes off a bridge in the water while they are measuring or the melting arctic ice sheets somehow flow into a lake 30 miles inland :-)
Some referees, such as at BSLT 70.3 in a spring-fed lake, deliberately try as hard as possible to find the one spot in the lake where it's wetsuit legal, even if the rest is warmer. Others just drop a gauge in at the first likely spot. Nowadays, you can even use infrared handheld units to project at the water, and they are very accurate for surface temperature. But for Lake Woodlands, it is very unlikely anymethod will find it it above 76.5F.
Again, 99% non-wetsuit, so I'll be wearing my BlueSeventy WTC-legal oversuit, which gives me about a minute or so; versus a wetsuit, which would give me five minutes or more. Bottom line is it doesn't matter: things like buoy navigation, pacing, and drafting on other swimmers will affect your time just as much or more than any aquatic attire. FOCUS ON YOUR SWIM TECHNIQUE AND KEEPING A GOOD LINE and forget about the water temperature.
I just finished watching the Dallas forecast, and they have all the rain on Sat being north of The Woodlands. Shaping up to be a pretty good day. Like Rick said, cloud cover and humidity in the 60s would be great. I would prefer winds 5-10, but will take 10-15 any day over what we have been training in. The other good thing is the wind is expected to be from the S/SSE. I know this means a head wind coming back in, but this will help anyone on the way out and who is worried about the 60 mile cut off time.
I am hoping The Woodlands does get some rain on Thur or Fri to keep the lake under 83.8. My prediction is a water temp of 81.5 on Sat morning.